Banks' lending recovery seen clouded by surging inflation, bond yields

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Although spending has increased after lockdowns were lifted, that has so far failed to translate into robust credit growth

Higher interest rates drive banks’ net interest margins. But uncertainty around how persistent inflation will be and how quickly rates will rise is clouding the outlook for lending recovery into next year that investors had hoped for.

An aggressive response would raise loan servicing costs, raising the potential for defaults. Banks would increase bad loan provisions, which would lead to weaker profit growth.

 

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