. On the same day, the yield on the 10-year Treasury bill hit 2.94%, still historically low but the highest rate seen since 2018. Most incredible – and for those holding speculative investments, perhaps most symbolically terrifying – the return on risk-free, inflation-adjusted U.S. savings bonds is expected to reach. Obviously, all of those rates are offset by current high inflation – but so is every other investment.
There are already strong signs of a gradual but steady transition to lower-risk assets . The Nasdaq 100 is a basket of stocks topped by the likes of Amazon and Nvidia , stocks that still have at least a bit of “growth” expectation built in – or, put another way, their price before the current slump implied significant future growth. The Nasdaq 100 is down more than 12% since January, compared to a 4.
It’s really stunning to see crypto hold up better than a more conventional technology growth fund. Certainly part of that is continuing investor optimism about crypto and blockchain, which can, to be clear, still trump granular considerations of risk and return.
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Crypto is full of amateur investors who waiver easily. They trade at losses and allow fees to pick at their bankroll. Then FUD all over the internet. That's the crypto environment right now.
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