Mortgage Demand From Homebuyers Falls 29% Since Last Year, as Interest Rates Surge Past 6%

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Rates are surging due in large part to the Fed’s hawkish inflation policies, and that’s weighing on mortgage demand.

Mortgage applications to purchase a home squeezed out a gain of 0.2% from the previous week, but were 29% lower than the same week one year ago. There was a bump up in demand for Veterans Affairs and USDA loans, which are favored by first-time buyers because they can offer low or no down payments.

"The spread between the conforming 30-year fixed mortgage rate and both ARM and jumbo loans remained wide last week, at 118 and 45 basis points, respectively. The wide spread underscores the volatility in capital markets due to uncertainty about the Fed's next policy moves," Kan added. Mortgage rates jumped significantly higher this week, after the monthly inflation number came in higher than expected. That had investors worried that the Federal Reserve would hike rates more than expected at its next meeting.

"It was one of the last shoes to drop before the Fed announcement on September 21st, and it arrived at a time where the market had fully priced in a 75bp hike, but was willing to consider something even higher if the data was convincing," wrote Matthew Graham, chief operating officer of Mortgage News Daily."This was arguably convincing enough for the Fed to at least open the conversation.

 

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