Blackouts add to risk of recession

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Blackouts add to risk of recession - Other factors are inflation and interest rate hikes while load-shedding has affected key sectors

in November, marking the 10th consecutive month of decline in production and following a 10.4% slump in October. The last time the mining sector recorded annual growth was in January last year.

The 18.65% tariff increase that the National Energy Regulator of South Africa recently granted Eskom will see the mining industry’s electricity costs rise by R13.5 billion or 33.7% to R53.5 billion by the end of 2024, according to theElectricity will make up about 12.5% of mining costs by the end of 2024 from about 9% now, the council said in a statement.

A recent Stats SA report showed that manufacturing production fell by 1.1% in November — during another period of record levels of load-shedding — compared with the same month the previous year. Manufacturing was a significant positive contributor to the 1.6% growth in GDP in theInvestec chief economist Annabel Bishop said an economy cannot not function to its full potential with insufficient electricity supply.

A recession is a significant, widespread and prolonged downturn in economic activity, technically illustrated by two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth.

 

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