The “demand” playbook suggests policymakers will be able to put a floor under the downturn by cutting interest rates. But if Boivin is right, and supply issues are the main drivers of inflation, lower interest rates would only make the inflation problem worse by encouraging more demand than providers of goods and services can satiate. “We don’t think there will be aThis advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below.It’s a big idea.
But the Bank of Canada still has lots of room to set monetary policy to suit what’s happening in Canada, and it’s been asserting its independence from the Fed particularly forcefully over the past year while fighting the most dangerous burst of inflation since the early 1980s., redefining the “jumbo” moniker that Bay Street and Wall Street had attached to all the outsized rate increases going on around the world as central bankers chased inflation.
If Canada’s central bank has looked like a follower for much of its history, then it has the appearance of a leader now. Boivin said the Bank of Canada offered the rest of the rich world a “glimpse” of where monetary policy in their countries is headed. The first question caused Macklem a little consternation. Bond prices already suggested that many investors think he’s going to have to cut interest rates before the end of the year to offset the economic downturn that everyone — including the Bank of Canada — knows is coming.
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