Analysis: Investors brace for hard landing as banking woes stoke recession fears

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Fears of a recession are growing on Wall Street, as stress in the banking sector following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and worries over the fate of Credit Suisse darken the outlook for the economy and markets. More here:

was caught up in a crisis of confidence sparked by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank last week, hammering its shares., while signs of heightened economic anxiety were apparent in a more than 30-basis point decline in two-year Treasury yields - which closely follow interest rate expectations - and a 5% drop in Brent crude to its lowest level in a year.

“When the facts change, my view changes. A financial accident has happened, and we are going from no landing to a hard landing driven by tighter credit conditions,” he wrote in a Wednesday note. Jacobsen believes the S&P 500 is likely to fall through its October closing low of 3,577, nearly 8% below its current level of 3,891. That contrasts with his outlook two weeks ago, which saw the index rising to 4,400 by year-end.

 

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