Oil rises on U.S. debt deal, but rate hikes, OPEC+ talks curb enthusiasm

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While the debt ceiling deal has spurred buying in riskier assets like commodities, it is unclear whether major oil producers might increase their output cuts.

Storage tanks and oil processing facilities operate at Saudi Aramco's Ras Tanura oil refinery and terminal in Ras Tanura, Saudi Arabia, on Oct. 1, 2018.Oil prices rose on Tuesday as the expectations the debt ceiling deal in U.S., the world's biggest oil user, will spur more demand but fears of further interest rate rises and that OPEC+ will leave output quotas unchanged capped gains.

rose 53 cents to $73.20 a barrel, up 0.7% from Friday's close. There was no settlement on Monday because of a U.S. public holiday. While the debt ceiling deal has spurred buying in riskier assets such as commodities, major oil producers will meet on June 4 and it is unclear whether they might increase their output cuts amid an overall slump in prices since the middle of April. Additionally, expectations are for U.S. interest rates to rise further, potentially crimping economic growth and therefore oil demand.

"Investors have shifted their attention to the outcome of the OPEC+ meeting this weekend as there have been mixed messages from major oil producers," said Toshitaka Tazawa, an analyst at Fujitomi Securities Co Ltd. "A U.S. debt ceiling deal boosted risk appetite, but investors are reluctant to step up buying amid worries over inflation and potential further increases of interest rates," he said.to suspend the $31.4 trillion debt ceiling and cap government spending for the next two years.

 

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