Fed pauses interest rate hikes, but high mortgage rates could be here to stay

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The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged for the first time in months, but mortgage rates are unlikely to fall despite the long-awaited pause.

MonetaryMacro.com CIO Joseph Wang argues while headline inflation has cooled, core inflation remains stuck above the Fed's target on 'Making Money.'ended its long streak of interest rate hikes this week, but the much-anticipated pause may offer little reprieve to Americans squeezed by higher borrowing costs.at a range of 5% to 5.25%, the highest level since 2007.

But policymakers also opened the door to additional rate increases this year, meaning there could be more pain for would-be homebuyers in the form of steeper mortgage rates."It’s unclear that today’s pause will ease mortgage rates, even in the short term," said Orphe Divounguy, a senior economist at Zillow Home Loans. "Without further evidence that core non-housing services inflation is easing, mortgage rates are likely to remain elevated.

Fresh economic projections laid out after the meeting show that a majority of Fed officials who participated in the meeting expect rates to rise to 5.6% by the end of 2023, suggesting at least two more quarter-point increases this year. "Given how far we have come, it may make sense for rates to move higher but at a more moderate pace,"

 

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