Will soaring mortgage costs push the UK into recession?

But there is unexploded ordnance in the UK economy, and there are fears that it will start to ignite, especially in the coming week.

It did fall, but significantly less than expected, and core inflation - a measure that strips out the most volatile components such as food and energy - went up. The latest jobs data this week gave more evidence for the notion that UK inflation could stay higher for longer. The interest rate for the UK government to borrow money over two years rose rather abruptly and higher compared to the US government.

Speaking to the chancellor this week, Jeremy Hunt said that "we are in a very different situation to where we were last autumn". It is true that there is no generalised market credibility panic. Sterling is reaching one-year highs against the dollar not, as it was last autumn, falling to record lows.

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