SNB Preview: Two scenarios and their implications for EUR/CHF – Credit Suisse

Hawkish

Hiking by 50 bps would cement the SNB’s inflation-fighting credentials amid the recent trend of lower headline and core inflation rates. This hawkish scenario could be even more powerful were the SNB to signal further interest rate hikes in the future and should be Franc supportive. Hiking 50 bps but hinting at an end to the rate hiking cycle or ‘only’ raising rates by 25 bps combined with a dovish language should lead to a weaker Swiss Franc. The peak in the implied policy rate is near.

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