Markets and policymakers split on ECB’s next interest rate move

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Data supporting a pause would include mounting evidence of a slowdown taking hold across the region’s economy.

The European Central Bank’s decision is a cliffhanger for investors, but even participants in the meeting have no inkling of the likely outcome, according to people familiar with the matter.

The judgement on whether to deliver another blow against inflation by raising interest rates this week or to enact a pause because of the weakening economy is so finely balanced that officials going to the gathering starting Wednesday are in suspense too, the people said.

 

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