Charting the Global Economy: Fed, BOE Deliver Hawkish Holds

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(Bloomberg) -- The Federal Reserve and Bank of England left interest rates unchanged this week, while both left the door open to additional increases should inflation prove persistent.Most Read from BloombergChina’s Ultra-Rich Gen Zs Flock Home as Global Tensions RiseAI Fantasy Fades as Wall Street Reels From Real-World Rate JumpRaw Meat-Eating Liver King And Other Health Influencers Face Mounting LawsuitsWhy Can’t Americans Buy Cheap Chinese EVs?Treasuries Halt Fed-Fueled Rout as Stocks Struggl

Policymakers in the US made their decision unanimously, while those in the UK were split. Meantime, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda tamped down speculation of a near-term interest rate hike after the central bank chose to stick with its ultra-easy stimulus.

US hotels and resorts learned to operate with leaner staffing models during the pandemic. Three years later, Covid-era band-aids like self-service kiosks and less-frequent housekeeping have now become the new normal for many firms seeking to cope with rising labor costs. Nowhere in the US is the fallout more apparent than in Las Vegas, where one in four people are employed in the leisure and hospitality sector.

The world economy is set for a slowdown as interest-rate increases weigh on activity and China’s pandemic rebound disappoints. Growth will ease to 2.7% in 2024 after an already “sub-par” expansion of 3% this year, according to the latest OECD forecasts. According to BloombergNEF modeling, if the coming winter’s weather follows El Niño patterns in the last decade, gas demand could be 2.2 billion cubic meters less than the base case.Japan’s persistently low birthrate and long lifespans have made it the oldest country in the world in terms of the proportion of people aged over 65, which this year hit a record of 29.1%.

 

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