‘A Blind Alley Of Unrealistic Targets’: Economists Warn Against Hanging Hopes On Housing Supply

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The Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) updated its housing supply gap estimate this month, revealing that the country will need around 3.5 million housing units by 2030 “over and above what is already projected to be built by that time” in order to restore affordability to 2004 levels. D...

from Friday, BMO economists Douglas Porter and Robert Kavcic break down CMHC’s new estimate, noting that it translates to around 500,000 additional units per year.

And then there’s the unprecedented economic status quo. For builders and developers, financing costs have surged in recent years. Even with the “That period followed a decade-long bear market in housing, particularly in Ontario, where nominal home prices took more than a decade to recover declines. The 1990s recession saw double-digit unemployment in the province, a large overhang of housing inventories, and many industry participants go out of business,” says the report.

 

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