Biden vs. Trump is both static and unstable. What could change things?

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The known unknowns that could shake up the general election include interest rates, immigration, international chaos and a potential health event.

By current indications, America is heading toward a close presidential election in November. The two major candidates are well defined, most voters have made up their minds and, despite some significant events, little has changed over recent months in the balance betweenYet as static as the political environment appears, there is also an underlying instability

Similarly, will Trump be convicted of a major crime before the election? Will the former president have enough money to wage a campaign against Biden and? Will the disarray among Republicans in states like Michigan and Arizona affect Trump’s vote count? Will Nikki Haley’s voters really recoil from supporting Trump in numbers enough to cause his downfall?

But Republicans argue that, for many Americans, the prices of gasoline, groceries and home mortgages, all higher than when Biden took office, weighs most heavily in how they judge the economy and their own well-being. To financially stressed families, they say, the reaction to current conditions can be summed up in four words: Things cost too much. Biden has only a few months to change those perceptions.World events have not played to Biden’s advantage.

There is a counter-theory among some Republicans about the impact of a possible conviction, which holds that all of the charges and penalties could be looking for an exit ramp. One choice is simply not to vote, or not to cast a presidential ballot but vote in all other races. A second could be to align with one of the independent candidates.

 

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