ECB Meeting: Investors Await Confirmation of June Rate Cut

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ECB,Interest Rates,Rate Cut

The European Central Bank (ECB) is not expected to lower interest rates at its meeting on Thursday but investors will be looking for confirmation that a June rate cut is on the cards. The potential fly in the ointment is wage growth which is pushing inflation in the services sector, now seen as the stickiest part of the equation.

Markets expect Frankfurt to implement a sequence of rate cuts in the second half of 2024 but wage growth remains the chief worryPresident of the European Central Bank Christine Lagarde addresses a press conference following the meeting of the governing council of the ECB in Frankfurt last month.

ECB policymakers have repeatedly highlighted first-quarter wage data, due out in late May, as a key reference point that will inform June’s rate decision. If she admits that rate-cutting discussions are under way in response to further signs of disinflation, this will be interpreted as laying the groundwork for a rate cut at its next meeting in June, according to Matthew Ryan of financial services firm Ebury.

 

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