Markets expect Frankfurt to implement a sequence of rate cuts in the second half of 2024 but wage growth remains the chief worryPresident of the European Central Bank Christine Lagarde addresses a press conference following the meeting of the governing council of the ECB in Frankfurt last month.
ECB policymakers have repeatedly highlighted first-quarter wage data, due out in late May, as a key reference point that will inform June’s rate decision. If she admits that rate-cutting discussions are under way in response to further signs of disinflation, this will be interpreted as laying the groundwork for a rate cut at its next meeting in June, according to Matthew Ryan of financial services firm Ebury.
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