ECB Will Need to Be Restrictive All Year Long, Lane Says

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Philip Lane News

European Central Bank,Bloomberg,Chief Economist

(Bloomberg) -- The European Central Bank is on track to start cutting interest rates next month, but will need to keep policy in restrictive territory...

-- The European Central Bank is on track to start cutting interest rates next month, but will need to keep policy in restrictive territory through 2024, according to Chief Economist Philip Lane.India’s Markets Brace for Selloff as Modi’s Poll Goals in DoubtChina’s Housing Rescue Has a Poor Track Record in Pilot Cities

“Next year, with inflation visibly approaching the target, then making sure the interest rate comes down to a level consistent with that target — that will be a different debate,” Lane said. A scarcity of low-risk assets in China's financial sector is obstructing the central bank's plans to make its monetary policy toolkit more efficient with a return to the treasury bond market after a 17-year hiatus. Taking its cue from an October 2023 speech by President Xi Jinping, the People's Bank of China pledged recently to add treasury bond buying and selling to its toolkit, to improve an increasingly flawed monetary policy transmission mechanism.

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