Summary According to our analysis—which we believe may be more forward-looking relative to the major credit assessment agencies—Latin American sovereigns such as Chile, Colombia and Mexico could see negative ratings actions over the course of the next 12 months. We also believe China will potentially be downgraded, which could have ripple effects given China's importance to the global economy.
As far as the individual variables that make up each category, the full set of indicators we incorporate to determine sovereign credit ratings are similar to the major ratings agencies, although our methodology does include indicators not employed by agencies. Our approach also excludes some variables used by agencies that we believe do not have a significant influence over sovereign creditworthiness.
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