Projecting Caleb Williams Rookie Production Numbers

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Whether its rooting interest from Bears fans or fantasy football owners' need to know, one pressing question about the NFL season is what Caleb Williams' rookie numbers will be.

Projecting success for a rookie—whether by the average Bears fan trying to address their own offseason angst or by the fantasy football owner—depends on an equation with so many factors.

Expecting Williams to enjoy a rookie season along the lines of the one C.J. Stroud had last year is probably taking it too far. Yet,May 22, 2024 in Rome Odunze, Keenan Allen and DJ Moore plus a 70-catch tight end in Cole Kmet and one with over 50 catches the last two years in Gerald Everett. Williams is a scrambler, too, but scrambles to throw and not to pick up yards with his legs unless he's out of options. Beyond that, the Bears offensive line last year showed it can perform well as pass blockers if given a chance. With Tyson Bagent at quarterback, the sack rate was 3.4%. It was 10.7% with Fields at QB.While it's perceived by many Eberflus is in a must-win year, no one who matters has hinted at this.

A major pitfall for rookie passers is targeting the same top receiver time and again, becoming predictable and not getting through the progression. Williams has never been this way. He is not target-dependent.

 

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