Gold extends its positive run as the probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates increases. A run of weak data from the US indicates inflationary pressures are waning, and interest rates could fall. The US Dollar weakens, adding a backwind to Gold, as counterparts in Europe strengthen on diminishing political risk.
Set against this, however, is falling political risk in Europe, which, despite a notable swing to the far right, is likely to remain in the hands of moderate coalitions. High central bank demand, which accounts for roughly a quarter of the Gold market, might also be easing.