Financial markets are still betting on rate cuts this year

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Financial markets are still betting on rate cuts this year | clancyyeates

Financial markets are betting official interest rates will be cut in three months time, with the likelihood of another reduction later this year, despite the Reserve Bank indicating this week that the case for lower rates had not been made.

Many in financial markets remain convinced Reserve Bank Governor Philip Lowe will cut interest rates in months ahead.All eyes will be on the jobs data in the months ahead, especially the unemployment rate, amid debate over which figures best reflect the health of Australia's economy: the weak economic growth figures or the stronger labour market numbers.

When the RBA left rates unchanged on Tuesday, Governor Philip Lowe highlighted the importance of jobs data, saying further "improvement in the labour market" would probably be needed to get inflation — which was just 1.3 per cent in the year to March — back inside its 2 to 3 per cent target range. Among the big four banks, Westpac is also tipping further interest rate cuts this year, while Commonwealth Bank is currently forecasting no change.

 

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